Opening Remarks

Hello listeners, and welcome to "AI Stock Chat"! I'm your content editor. Today is Monday, August 3, 2026. Are you all still reeling from last Friday's historic surge of over 3,000 points, which sent the TAIEX straight past the 40,000-point mark? In this brand-new 2026 landscape where the index has topped 43,000 and TSMC is eyeing the 2,000 TWD milestone, today we will provide an in-depth forecast for the TAIEX and key stock movements for Tuesday, August 4, 2026, helping you navigate these turbulent waters and build a solid portfolio!

Today's Market Forecast

We provide "Next-Day" and "Short-Term" forecast horizons for the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX), targeting the trading day of Tuesday, 2026-08-04:

Market Breakdown: Although the Taiwan stock market set an epic record during daytime trading last Friday by surging 3,186 points, the Friday night futures session plummeted by 1,077 points. Coupled with a massive short position held by foreign institutional investors in futures, we predict that the overall market direction for Tuesday, 2026-08-04, will lean toward a "neutral-to-bearish" cooling-off period. The most critical watchpoint for Tuesday is whether the heavyweight king, TSMC (2330), can hold the 2,400 TWD mark. This will determine whether the market opens low and stabilizes or continues to slide. Beginners should absolutely avoid chasing highs at Tuesday's open; we recommend taking a wait-and-see approach for now.

Global Market Overview

Below is the current status of global markets and the TAIEX futures night session (no forecast data):

Key Stock AI Forecasts

(No individual stock forecasts today)

Strategy Stock Selection Radar

Please note that the following are results filtered by our strategy, not specific buy/sell predictions. A score of 2 or higher leans toward "Buy," -2 or lower leans toward "Sell," and anything in between suggests a "Wait-and-See" stance.

Strategy Breakdown:

• Wan Hai (2615): With an overall score of 0.0, there is currently no clear buy or sell signal; we recommend a wait-and-see approach. However, its short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages are currently in a bullish alignment, and the stock price has risen above the monthly moving average, indicating a bullish technical bias.
• Foxconn (2317): With an overall score of 3.8, the bullish signal is quite clear. This is mainly driven by the MACD histogram turning positive, trading volume expanding by 1.86x, and signs of stabilization via bullish divergence. Market interest is warming up.
• SinoPac FHC (2890): With an overall score of -0.2, although trading volume is quietly stabilizing, the Williams %R stands at -13.04, indicating it has entered overbought territory. Be highly cautious about chasing highs on Tuesday.
• Yang Ming (2609): With an overall score of -1.0, a bearish "shooting star" candlestick pattern has appeared on the technical chart, suggesting short-term pullback pressure.
• Cathay FHC (2882): With an overall score of 2.1, bullish factors include the MACD histogram turning positive and trading volume expanding by 1.55x. However, it shares the same overbought concern with a Williams %R of -10, so over-chasing on Tuesday is not recommended.

Recent Forecast Accuracy Review

Since our system has been upgraded to the brand-new 2026 market forecasting architecture, we do not yet have a sufficient sample of settled results. Adhering to our principles of honesty and transparency, we will publish our actual forecast accuracy review as soon as we accumulate enough trading days of data!

Disclaimer

This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data and is for research reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk; please make your own judgments and assume all responsibility.