Opening

Hello everyone, I'm Mu-Yan. Welcome to AI Stock Market Chats. Today is Monday, November 9. Based on the November 6 close, the upstream model predicts a bearish bias for today's market direction, with a target range between 38,830 and 39,527 points. In this episode, we'll cover prediction details for both next-day and short-term horizons, global market conditions, the strategy screening radar, and an honest review of recent hit-rate performance.

Today's Market Prediction

The service predicts only the TAIEX (Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index), with "Next-Day" and "Short-Term" horizons. In a Markdown table:

Data source: this site's Stock MCP snapshot, baseline date 2026-11-06, retrieved 2026-11-09T14:30:10.401Z. Both horizons give a bearish direction. The next-day target range is relatively narrow, while the short-term horizon pulls the lower support down to around 37,753, suggesting the model sees larger short-term pullback potential. Market breadth interpretation shows extreme weakness on November 6: 106 advancers vs. 963 decliners, selling pressure dominant, sentiment bearish. Listeners should watch whether post-open volume can support a bounce or if the market continues searching for support.

Global Market Conditions

Taiwan Futures night session and US four majors / SOX only show "current status", no predictions. Markdown table (three columns only):

Taiwan Futures night session closed at 40,298, up 1.63%, diverging from the model's bearish bias, listeners should watch the opening gap. US side: Dow slipped slightly, S&P and Nasdaq biased bullish, SOX surged 4.21% as the standout, chip sector momentum strong, which may provide positive sentiment support for Taiwan tech stocks.

Strategy Stock Radar

Below are strategy screening results, not individual stock buy/sell predictions, and do not constitute trading advice. Markdown table:

This list is screened primarily on composite score, chip score, and valuation cheapness. Hotai Motor tops the composite score with a perfect chip score; volume expanded 1.62x, signaling rising interest. Formosa Plastics, President Chain Store, Taiwan Cooperative Financial, and 00713 all show technical oversold or low-level strengthening signals, but simultaneously carry weakening momentum, top divergence, and other bearish factors, they're tug-of-war names. Interested listeners should research fundamentals and risk management further on their own.

Recent Prediction Hit-Rate Review

Honest reporting: Index next-day horizon, last 24 samples, direction hit rate 50.0% (12 hits), full-range HIT only 6 times, average error 1.24%. Short-term horizon, last 20 samples, direction hit rate 55.0% (11 hits), full-range HIT 4 times, average error 3.65%. Both horizons' direction hit rates are roughly coin-flip; full-range hit ratio is low, a reminder that prediction ranges have limited reference value. Decisions should be paired with your own discipline and risk control.

Disclaimer

This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data, for research reference only, and does not constitute any investment advice or recommendation. This site and the program producers are not a securities investment advisory business, do not provide analysis opinions to specific persons, and do not receive any compensation for this content; investing involves risk, please make your own judgments and bear your own responsibility.