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Hello everyone, welcome to AI Stock Chat, I'm Muyan. Today is Wednesday, September 30th, and we're looking ahead to the next trading day, Thursday, October 1st, for Taiwan's stock market trend. The AI model's view this time leans bearish, though the overnight futures session and US stocks are showing some diverging signals, which we'll break down together in a moment.

Today's Index Forecast

Market sentiment is indeed leaning bearish. In the last trading session, only 376 stocks advanced while 596 declined, showing fairly broad-based selling pressure. The AI model gives a 68% confidence level for both the next-day and short-term (one-week) outlooks, with both pointing downward. The lower bound of the short-term target range even reaches 46502 points, suggesting that if the market does weaken, it might not just be a one-day pullback. Investors should keep an eye on the follow-through momentum.

Global Market Overview

Interestingly, the Taiwan Futures night session bucked the trend and closed up 1.46%, diverging somewhat from the broader pattern of the four major US indices closing slightly lower while the SOX stood out with a strong 1.32% gain. This kind of inconsistency between domestic and international signals is one of the variables to watch when the market opens tomorrow.

Strategy Stock Screening Radar

The following are strategy screening results, not individual stock buy/sell predictions.

From a technical standpoint, Nan Ya Plastics' chip score has hit a perfect 100 with strengthening momentum, but the Williams %R has already entered overbought territory, so chasing the price higher in the short term carries pullback risk. Yang Ming Marine Transport also has a perfect chip score, yet it's showing MACD bearish divergence, suggesting its rally may be losing steam. Wan Hai Lines and Fubon Taiwan 50, meanwhile, are caught in a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish signals, with a heavier wait-and-see mood. These are all just technical signals surfaced by the strategy screen, not buy or sell recommendations.

Recent Prediction Accuracy Review

We don't yet have enough settled samples accumulated, so this episode can't report the actual hit rate for the TAIEX prediction. Once we have enough samples to backtest, we'll report the results honestly, whether the numbers look good or not. Please give us a bit more time to build up the data.

Disclaimer

This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data, and is provided for research reference only. It does not constitute any investment advice or recommendation. This site and the program's producers are not a securities investment advisory business, do not provide analysis or opinions to specific individuals, and receive no compensation for this content. Investing involves risk; please make your own judgments and bear your own responsibility.