--- title: "📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-08-11 | US SOX Plunges, Foreign Short Pressure Mounts; Defensive Play is Best for Taiwan Stocks on Wednesday!" description: "Hi everyone, I'm Muyan! Welcome to today's \"AI Stock Chat.\" Today is Tuesday, August 11, 2026, and we are going to predict the trend of the Taiwan stock market for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 12. With US semiconductor stocks taking quite a hit last night, coupled with the mountain of futures short positions held by foreign capital, how should we respond tomorrow, Wednesday? Today, let's let our AI model break it down for you!" canonical_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-08-11" author: "Mark Ku" author_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku" site: "Mark Ku's Tech Notes" date_published: "2026-08-11 10:00:00 +0800" category: "AI Stock Market Chit-Chat" tags: ["ai-stock", "podcast", "台股預測", "台股", "AI預測", "鴻海2317", "航運股", "萬海2615", "中鋼2002", "豐泰9910"] language: "en" license: "CC BY 4.0" license_url: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" attribution: "when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original" --- # 📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-08-11 | US SOX Plunges, Foreign Short Pressure Mounts; Defensive Play is Best for Taiwan Stocks on Wednesday! ## Introduction Hi everyone, I'm Mu-Yen! Welcome to today's "AI Stock Chat." Today is Tuesday, August 11, 2026, and we are here to predict the performance of the Taiwan stock market (TAIEX) for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 12. With US semiconductor stocks taking a heavy hit last night and foreign institutional investors holding a mountain of short positions in futures, how should we prepare for Wednesday? Today, let's let our AI model break it down for you! ## Today's Market Forecast
Current 44928.76Next-DayNeutral · 43849.80~44602.02 · 58% Conf.Short-TermNeutral · 43384.91~45066.91 · 60% Conf.
TAIEX AI Forecast Range (Next-Day / Short-Term)
The AI Stock Chat service only forecasts the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX). Below are the predictions for tomorrow, Wednesday, 2026-08-12, and the coming week: | Horizon | Current Price | Forecast Direction | Target Range | Confidence | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Next-Day (08-12) | 44928.76 | Neutral | 43849.80 ~ 44602.02 | 58.0% | | Short-Term (1 Week) | 44928.76 | Neutral | 43384.91 ~ 45066.91 | 60.0% | For tomorrow (Wednesday), the AI model is highly cautious, issuing a "Neutral" range-bound forecast. Although the current price remains at a high level of nearly 45,000, the expected target range for the next day falls between 43,849 and 44,602. This suggests downward pressure to correct and search for support. While the market currently has solid fundamental backing—such as TSMC's record-breaking revenue and upcoming earnings calls from Foxconn and Quanta—the historical mountain of over 87,000 short futures contracts held by foreign institutional investors remains a lingering shadow. Any rebound is highly susceptible to selling pressure, so novice investors should definitely avoid chasing highs! ## Global Market Overview Below is the latest global market overview. This section is **for reference only and does not include AI forecasts**: | Index | Close | % Change | | --- | --- | --- | | TAIEX Futures Night Session (TXF) | 44719 | -0.60% | | Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) | 53975.98 | -0.11% | | S&P 500 Index (GSPC) | 7753.11 | -0.06% | | Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) | 26605.36 | -0.32% | | Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) | 11993.86 | -2.94% | All four major US indices closed in the red last night, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index taking a heavy hit of -2.94%, and the TAIEX futures night session following suit with a 0.60% drop. This will undoubtedly put significant opening pressure on Taiwanese tech stocks this Wednesday. ## Key Stock AI Forecasts (No individual stock forecasts today) After evaluating today's market conditions, the AI model has determined that there are too many variables. To ensure the quality of our forecasts, **there is no individual stock forecast list today**. We value honesty above all else—if we aren't confident, we won't make wild guesses. It's best to focus on observing the broader market's movements this Wednesday! ## Strategic Stock Selection Radar Below are the results of our algorithmic screening, **not individual stock buy/sell recommendations**. We use quantitative indicators to help you identify assets in the market that are worth watching: | Stock | Overall Score | Money Flow Score | P/E Ratio | Valuation | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Foxconn (2317) | 81 | 100 | 18.79 | Expensive | | Wan Hai (2615) | 78 | 100 | 8.08 | Expensive | | China Steel (2002) | 74 | 100 | - | - | | Evergreen (2603) | 73 | 100 | 9.35 | Expensive | | Feng Tay (9910) | 71 | 100 | 15.19 | Cheap | - **Foxconn (2317)**: With an overall score of 81, technical indicators like the CCI are strengthening. Additionally, both MACD and RSI are showing signs of stabilization with bullish divergence, and trading volume is quietly recovering. However, note that the Williams %R indicates it is in the overbought territory, so those looking to enter should be careful not to chase highs. - **Wan Hai (2615)**: Trading volume has surged by 1.7x, showing a clear return of market interest, and momentum is starting to strengthen. However, it shares the same concerns of overbought indicators and an expensive valuation. - **China Steel (2002)**: Trading volume exploded by 2.65x today with very strong momentum, drawing significant market attention. The downside is that the Williams %R has reached 0, indicating an extremely overbought state. - **Evergreen (2603)**: Trading volume expanded by 1.56x. However, note that a bearish MACD divergence has appeared on the technical chart, suggesting that the short-term rally might be losing steam, making the risk of chasing the price relatively high. - **Feng Tay (9910)**: This is the only stock on the list with a relatively cheap valuation. Technically, a bullish crossover of the 5-day MA over the 20-day MA (golden cross) and a hammer candlestick pattern have emerged. However, buying volume is currently somewhat lacking, resulting in a volume-price bearish divergence. ## Recent Forecast Accuracy Review
TAIEX · Next-Day40% (2/5)TAIEX · Short-Term0% (0/1)
Recent Directional Accuracy (higher is better; includes settled sample size)
I have to be completely honest with you all: our AI model's recent performance definitely has room for improvement. For the "Next-Day" TAIEX forecast, the directional accuracy was only 40% (2 out of 5 correct), with only 1 perfect range match and an average error of 1.06%. The "Short-Term" forecast was even more brutal, with a directional accuracy of 0% (0 out of 1 correct) and an average error of 2.57%. We never sugarcoat the data—we report the good and the bad transparently. This also proves once again that AI models are merely tools. When investing, you must always have your own strategy and manage your risks carefully to survive and thrive in the stock market over the long run! ## Disclaimer This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data and is for research and reference purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk; please make your own judgments and assume full responsibility. --- ## About this article and its author Originally published on [Mark Ku's Tech Notes](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-08-11) License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original ### About the author **[Mark Ku](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku)** — Software Solution Provider - 10+ years senior software engineer, now an AI Builder - Focused on large-platform architecture — North-American e-commerce, AI SaaS subscription billing - Combining AI Agents and automation to build evolvable product foundations ### Free tools built by the author All of these are free to use: - [Free PDF Sign Tool](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/tools/pdf-sign): Online PDF sign tool — draw, type, or upload a signature, then drag, resize, and download. 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