---
title: "📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-08-07 | Monday market forecast is bullish, but high-level volatility and foreign short pressure cannot be ignored!"
description: "Good weekend to all our listeners, I'm Ticker! Today is Friday, August 7, 2026. After a volatile week, is everyone ready to welcome the weekend? But before you relax, we still want to help you plan ahead. With the most honest and unvarnished attitude, let's predict the Taiwan stock market and market trends for the next trading day, Monday, August 10, 2026. How will next Monday's market play out? Let's break it down using AI quantitative data!"
canonical_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-08-07"
author: "Mark Ku"
author_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku"
site: "Mark Ku's Tech Notes"
date_published: "2026-08-07 10:00:00 +0800"
category: "AI Stock Market Chit-Chat"
tags: ["ai-stock", "podcast", "台股預測", "台股", "AI預測", "加權指數", "鴻海2317", "台積電2330"]
language: "en"
license: "CC BY 4.0"
license_url: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
attribution: "when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original"
---

# 📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-08-07 | Monday market forecast is bullish, but high-level volatility and foreign short pressure cannot be ignored!

## Introduction
Happy weekend, everyone! I'm Ticker. Today is Friday, August 7, 2026. After a volatile week, are you all ready to welcome the weekend? But before you relax, we want to help you plan ahead. With the most honest, zero-sugarcoating attitude, let's predict the market trends for the next trading day—**Monday, August 10, 2026**—for the Taiwan stock market (TAIEX). How will the market move next Monday? Let's break it down using AI quantitative data!

## Today's Market Forecast

<figure class="stock-chart" style="margin:1.25rem 0"><svg role="img" aria-label="TAIEX AI Prediction Range (Next-Day / Short-Term)" viewBox="0 0 612 130" width="100%" style="height:auto;max-width:612px;min-width:480px;font-family:ui-sans-serif,system-ui,sans-serif;font-size:12px"><line x1="76.7" y1="20" x2="76.7" y2="122" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 3" opacity=".45"/><text x="76.68965517241406" y="14" fill="currentColor" text-anchor="middle" opacity=".7">Current Price 44396.70</text><text x="48" y="57" fill="currentColor" text-anchor="end" font-weight="600">Next-Day</text><line x1="56" y1="53" x2="356" y2="53" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="1" opacity=".18"/><rect x="130.9" y="44" width="80.3" height="18" rx="4" fill="#22c55e" fill-opacity=".22" stroke="#22c55e" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="366" y="57" fill="currentColor">Bullish · 44738.06~45243.91 · Confidence 61%</text><text x="48" y="103" fill="currentColor" text-anchor="end" font-weight="600">Short-Term</text><line x1="56" y1="99" x2="356" y2="99" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="1" opacity=".18"/><rect x="155.7" y="90" width="179.6" height="18" rx="4" fill="#22c55e" fill-opacity=".22" stroke="#22c55e" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="366" y="103" fill="currentColor">Bullish · 44894.38~46025.49 · Confidence 61%</text></svg><figcaption style="font-size:12px;opacity:.6;margin-top:.25rem">TAIEX AI Prediction Range (Next-Day / Short-Term)</figcaption></figure>

Our AI service currently only predicts the TAIEX (Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index). Below are the prediction data for **Monday, August 10, 2026**, and the short-term outlook for next week:

| Horizon | Current Price | Predicted Direction | Target Range | Confidence |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Next-Day (08-10) | 44396.7 | Bullish | 44738.06~45243.91 | 61.0% |
| Short-Term (1-Week) | 44396.7 | Bullish | 44894.38~46025.49 | 61.0% |

Although the index previously hit a record high of 44,611.6 points, don't let the rally go to your head. US tech stocks are currently facing pullback pressure, and foreign institutional investors hold an extremely high volume of short futures positions. Consequently, the market is highly prone to high-level volatility and pullbacks at Monday's (August 10) open.

Although the AI model has issued a "Bullish" prediction for both Monday and the short term with a confidence level of 61%, short-term buying momentum is indeed somewhat overheated. Ticker suggests that the most critical thing to watch at Monday's open is "whether the index will pull back to seek support." Beginners should stay calm and avoid blindly chasing highs at the opening bell.

## Global Market Status
Below is a summary of the latest closing status of international markets. Please note that global market data **only represents objective current data and does not constitute AI predictions**!

| Index | Close | % Change |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Taiwan Index Futures Night Session (TXF) | 44543 | 0.64% |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) | 53885.1 | -0.85% |
| S&P 500 Index (GSPC) | 7709.96 | -0.18% |
| Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) | 26348.35 | -0.06% |
| Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) | 12048.69 | 0.33% |

## Key Stock AI Predictions
**No individual stock predictions today.** 
We always adhere to the principles of honesty and transparency. When the AI model deems that the data is insufficient or the win rate is not high enough, we will absolutely not force-feed you stock predictions. This is the most responsible attitude toward your hard-earned money!

## Strategic Stock Selection Radar
Below are the stocks filtered out by our system's "strategy screener." **We must emphasize that this is not a buy/sell prediction for individual stocks**, nor does it include target prices or confidence levels. It is provided solely as a technical and institutional flow reference for your stock selection.

| Stock | Overall Score | Institutional Flow Score | P/E Ratio | Valuation |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Foxconn (2317) | 81 | 100 | 18.79 | expensive |
| Hotai Motor (2207) | 72 | 100 | 15.11 | fair |
| TSMC (2330) | 71 | 100 | 31.80 | expensive |
| Hua Nan Financial (2880) | 69 | 75 | 21.28 | expensive |
| Chunghwa Telecom (2412) | 67 | 100 | , | , |

*   **Foxconn (2317)**: Technical momentum is strengthening. Both MACD and RSI show signs of stabilization with bullish divergence, and trading volume is quietly recovering. However, the Williams %R indicates overbought conditions, so watch out for the risk of chasing highs in the short term.
*   **Hotai Motor (2207)**: Currently, short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment, and the stock price has risen above the monthly line, indicating a bullish medium-term outlook. However, the KD indicator is pointing downward in the short term, so there is no clear buy/sell signal today.
*   **TSMC (2330)**: The MACD histogram has turned bullish, and upward momentum is strengthening. However, the overall valuation is currently on the expensive side, and the Williams %R indicates overbought conditions. Caution is advised when chasing highs.
*   **Hua Nan Financial (2880)**: The CCI indicator shows strengthening momentum, but the RSI has reached 73, entering the overbought zone. Entering the market at this point requires caution against a potential pullback.
*   **Chunghwa Telecom (2412)**: The Williams %R has entered the oversold zone, suggesting a potential rebound after a deep drop. However, the MACD histogram has turned bearish, indicating that bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war.

## Recent Prediction Accuracy Review

<figure class="stock-chart" style="margin:1.25rem 0"><svg role="img" aria-label="Recent Directional Accuracy (Higher is more accurate; includes settled sample size)" viewBox="0 0 488 56" width="100%" style="height:auto;max-width:488px;min-width:480px;font-family:ui-sans-serif,system-ui,sans-serif;font-size:12px"><text x="64" y="35" fill="currentColor" text-anchor="end" font-weight="600">Index · Next-Day</text><rect x="72" y="22" width="320" height="18" rx="4" fill="currentColor" opacity=".12"/><rect x="72" y="22" width="106.7" height="18" rx="4" fill="#ef4444"/><text x="402" y="35" fill="currentColor">33% (0/3)</text></svg><figcaption style="font-size:12px;opacity:.6;margin-top:.25rem">Recent Directional Accuracy (Higher is more accurate; includes settled sample size)</figcaption></figure>

Next up is Ticker's "straight talk, zero sugarcoating" segment.
We must report the facts: our recent next-day direction accuracy for the index is **only 33.3%** (meaning 0 out of 3 predictions were correct, with an average error of 1.19%).

That's right, we've had a string of misses lately! This proves once again that AI predictions are by no means a guarantee of profit. Especially during volatile periods with mixed market signals and heavy foreign short positions, model predictions are more prone to errors. When referencing the bullish prediction for Monday, August 10, please keep this win rate in mind and strictly manage your stop-losses and capital.

## Disclaimer
This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data and is for research reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk; please make your own judgments and assume all risks.

---

## About this article and its author

Originally published on [Mark Ku's Tech Notes](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-08-07)

License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original

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