--- title: "📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-07-24 | US Tech Giants' Earnings Bomb, Air Raid Sirens Sounding Next Monday?" description: "Hello everyone, I'm Ticker! Today is Friday, July 24, 2026. Looking past the weekend, in this episode we're going to talk about the next trading day, Monday, July 27, 2026, and analyze the trends of the Taiwan stock market and key stocks. Recently, the US stock earnings season has brought major volatility, and our AI model's predictive data has also shown some interesting changes. As always, no fluff and no sugarcoating—we'll break it down for you directly using the most authentic quantitative data!" canonical_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-07-24" author: "Mark Ku" author_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku" site: "Mark Ku's Tech Notes" date_published: "2026-07-24 10:00:00 +0800" category: "AI Stock Market Chit-Chat" tags: ["ai-stock", "podcast", "台股預測", "台股", "AI預測", "台積電2330", "聯發科2454", "鴻海2317", "外資期貨空單"] language: "en" license: "CC BY 4.0" license_url: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" attribution: "when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original" --- # 📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-07-24 | US Tech Giants' Earnings Bomb, Air Raid Sirens Sounding Next Monday? ## Introduction Hello everyone, I'm Ticker! Today is Friday, July 24, 2026. Having wrapped up the weekend, in this episode we're going to dive deep into the next trading day—Monday, July 27, 2026—to discuss the trends for the Taiwan stock market (TAIEX) and key individual stocks. With the recent massive volatility from the US earnings season, our AI model's predictions have shown some interesting shifts. As always, we won't beat around the bush or sugarcoat the numbers. We'll break it down for you directly using the most honest quantitative data! ## Today's Market Forecast
Current Price 44850.81Next-DayNeutral · 44023.92~45627.64 · Confidence 72%Short-TermNeutral · 43032.76~46618.80 · Confidence 72%
TAIEX AI Prediction Range (Next-Day / Short-Term)
Our AI service only forecasts the broader market index, specifically the Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX), providing two outlooks: "Next-Day" and "Short-Term". Below are the prediction metrics for Monday, July 27, 2026: | Outlook | Current Price | Predicted Direction | Target Range | Confidence | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Next-Day (07-27) | 44850.81 | Neutral | 44023.92~45627.64 | 72.0% | | Short-Term (1 Week) | 44850.81 | Neutral | 43032.76~46618.80 | 72.0% | **Plain English Market Sentiment Interpretation:** Although the AI forecast signals a "neutral" consolidation in terms of direction, market sentiment is currently sounding air-raid sirens. Post-market earnings misses from Google and Tesla triggered sharp sell-offs in US stocks. Coupled with foreign institutional investors building up a historic short position of 75,000 contracts in futures, the Taiwan stock market faces a massive risk of opening high and selling off, or gapping down on Monday (July 27). The short-term bias is bearish, and the most critical level to watch is whether the index can hold the July 21 closing price of 44,232.87. During this volatile period, investors should keep a close eye on their cash allocation and downside risks. ## Global Market Overview Below is a summary of the latest closing statuses across international markets. Please note that this section **only presents objective historical data and does not represent AI predictions for the future**: | Index | Close | % Change | | --- | --- | --- | | TAIEX Futures Night Session (TXF) | 44391.00 | -1.16% | | Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) | 51809.45 | 0.19% | | S&P 500 Index (GSPC) | 7399.33 | -0.12% | | Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) | 24977.68 | -0.64% | | Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) | 11948.20 | -3.21% | ## AI Predictions for Key Assets
Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050)Neutral · Confidence 51%Fubon Vietnam (00885)Neutral · Confidence 57%TSMC (2330)Neutral · Confidence 54%Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)Bullish · Confidence 55%MediaTek (2454)Bullish · Confidence 56%Hon Hai (2317)Neutral · Confidence 55%Chunghwa Telecom (2412)Neutral · Confidence 69%
Key Assets Target Ranges (Vertical line = Current price, Colored band = Target range)
Below are the AI predictions and technical signals for key individual stocks and ETFs over the next 5 trading days starting Monday, July 27, 2026: | Stock | Direction | Target Range | Confidence | Technical Signals | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050) | Neutral | 382.48~411.12 | 51.0% | KD=SELL, MA=SELL, RSI=SELL | | Fubon Vietnam (00885) | Neutral | 17.60~18.22 | 57.0% | KD=BUY, MA=SELL, MACD=SELL | | TSMC (2330) | Neutral | 2230.45~2409.55 | 54.0% | KD=SELL, RSI=SELL, MACD=SELL | | Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735) | Bullish | 95.48~102.78 | 55.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, MA=SELL | | MediaTek (2454) | Bullish | 4585.48~5087.38 | 56.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, MACD=SELL | | Hon Hai (2317) | Neutral | 259.16~284.84 | 55.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, MA=SELL | | Chunghwa Telecom (2412) | Neutral | 144.12~148.88 | 69.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=BUY, MACD=SELL | *Note: The 0050 prediction range has been adjusted for consistency based on its proportional relationship with the broader market and weighted stocks.* **Plain English Commentary on Key Stocks:** * **Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050)**: Having just gone ex-dividend, its recent rapid decline might trigger a minor short-term rebound. However, predictions indicate it is still likely to consolidate in place over the short term. * **Fubon Vietnam (00885)**: System quantitative baselines show a bias toward range-bound consolidation over the next 5 days. There is currently no deep AI analysis for this asset; this is a rule-based estimate. * **TSMC (2330)**: Valuation is on the expensive side. It is expected to fluctuate within a range over the next 5 days, with most technical indicators showing sell signals. * **Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)**: The AI prediction is bullish, but investors should guard against high-level volatility and the risk of corrections due to overbought signals. * **MediaTek (2454)**: Although the valuation is expensive, the AI prediction is short-term bullish. With a KD golden cross, short-term momentum is relatively strong. * **Hon Hai (2317)**: Short-term valuation is on the expensive side, making the stock price prone to higher volatility. Keep an eye on the pressure from foreign institutional short selling across the broader market. * **Chunghwa Telecom (2412)**: Likely to tread water in the short term, but indicators show overbought conditions, suggesting a need to guard against the risk of a high-level correction. ## Strategic Stock Selection Radar Below are the results filtered by our system strategies, **not buy/sell predictions for individual stocks**. The strategy radar aims to identify targets that meet specific quantitative criteria for investor research and reference: | Stock | Overall Score | Institutional Flow Score | P/E Ratio | Valuation | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Hung Poo (2536) | 84 | 100 | 6.53 | Fair | | Leshih Green Energy (1529) | 79 | 100 | 20.31 | Cheap | | Farglory (5522) | 79 | 100 | 8.69 | Cheap | | Globe Union (9934) | 78 | 100 | - | - | | Hon Chuan (9939) | 76 | 100 | 14.69 | Fair | **Strategy Selection Reasons and Details:** * **Hung Poo (2536)**: Trading volume surged by 2.48x, with a strong bullish engulfing pattern appearing on the daily K-line, and MACD showing a low-level divergence. However, the Williams %R indicates it is in the overbought zone. * **Leshih Green Energy (1529)**: A hammer pattern has appeared on the K-line, accompanied by a low-level MACD divergence, earning a perfect institutional flow score. * **Farglory (5522)**: Trading volume expanded significantly by 3.98x, indicating strengthening momentum. However, the RSI has reached a hot 74, and the 20-day bias ratio is excessively high at +12.64%, meaning investors should watch out for correction risks. * **Globe Union (9934)**: Overall score of 78, but today's specific buy/sell signal score is 0.0 (in the wait-and-see zone). Currently, the technicals show a bullish moving average alignment, and the stock price has broken above the monthly moving average, indicating a bullish bias in the short-to-medium term. * **Hon Chuan (9939)**: The 5-day moving average crossed above the 20-day moving average (golden cross), indicating strengthening momentum. However, the Williams %R has reached -2.94, so investors should guard against the risk of a high-level overbought correction. ## Review of Recent Prediction Accuracy
Market · Next-Day45% (3/22)Market · Short-Term42% (1/19)Stocks · Short-Term22% (5/36)Stocks · 20-Day25% (4/16)
Recent Directional Accuracy (Higher is more accurate; includes settled sample size)
As the most honest editors around, we never sugarcoat our data. Below is the actual accuracy of our recent directional predictions. To be frank, with the massive volatility in both the broader market and individual stocks lately, our AI model has taken quite a beating: * **Market · Next-Day**: Directional Accuracy **13.6%** (Actual hits: 3/22, average error: 1.83%) * **Market · Short-Term**: Directional Accuracy **5.3%** (Actual hits: 1/19, average error: 3.26%) * **Stocks · Short-Term**: Directional Accuracy **13.9%** (Actual hits: 5/36, average error: 5.18%) * **Stocks · 20-Day**: Directional Accuracy **25.0%** (Actual hits: 4/16, average error: 10.19%) **Settled Historical Predictions Review (Predicted Direction vs. Actual Outcome):** * **TSMC (2330)** (Predicted on 2026-07-13): Predicted Neutral ➔ Outcome **MISS** (Actual return: -4.92%) * **Fubon Vietnam (00885)** (Predicted on 2026-07-13): Predicted Neutral ➔ Outcome **MISS** (Actual return: -2.77%) * **Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050)** (Predicted on 2026-07-13): Predicted Bullish ➔ Outcome **MISS** (Actual return: -6.42%) * **Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)** (Predicted on 2026-07-13): Predicted Bearish ➔ Outcome **HIT (Perfect Match)** (Actual return: -9.08%) * **TSMC (2330)** (Predicted on 2026-07-09): Predicted Neutral ➔ Outcome **MISS** (Actual return: -5.18%) * **Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)** (Predicted on 2026-07-09): Predicted Bearish ➔ Outcome **HIT (Perfect Match)** (Actual return: -12.67%) The win rate for our recent next-day and short-term predictions on both the broader market and individual stocks has been extremely low. This indicates that current market randomness and external event disruptions (such as US earnings reports and foreign institutional short positions) far outweigh historical quantitative patterns. Please be extremely cautious with your trades and avoid over-relying on model predictions. ## Disclaimer This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data and is for research and reference purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks; please make your own judgments and assume all associated risks. --- ## About this article and its author Originally published on [Mark Ku's Tech Notes](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-07-24) License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original ### About the author **[Mark Ku](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku)** — Software Solution Provider - 10+ years senior software engineer, now an AI Builder - Focused on large-platform architecture — North-American e-commerce, AI SaaS subscription billing - Combining AI Agents and automation to build evolvable product foundations ### Free tools built by the author All of these are free to use: - [Free PDF Sign Tool](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/tools/pdf-sign): Online PDF sign tool — draw, type, or upload a signature, then drag, resize, and download. 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