--- title: "📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-07-23 | After the biggest surge in history, calmly face the new situation on Friday, July 24!" description: "Hello everyone, welcome to \"AI Stock Chat\", I'm Pei-yu. Today is Thursday, July 23, 2026, and we are going to predict the trends for the Taiwan stock market and key stocks for the next trading day, Friday, July 24, 2026. The Taiwan stock market just experienced a historic surge—is everyone feeling pumped? However, ahead of tomorrow's Friday settlement and weekly close, we need to cool down first and see what the AI has to say. Be careful not to fall into the overheating trap of buying too hastily!" canonical_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-07-23" author: "Mark Ku" author_url: "https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku" site: "Mark Ku's Tech Notes" date_published: "2026-07-23 10:00:00 +0800" category: "AI Stock Market Chit-Chat" tags: ["ai-stock", "podcast", "台股預測", "台股", "AI預測", "2330", "2317", "0050"] language: "en" license: "CC BY 4.0" license_url: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" attribution: "when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original" --- # 📈 AI Stock Chat, 2026-07-23 | After the biggest surge in history, calmly face the new situation on Friday, July 24! ## Introduction Hello everyone, and welcome to "AI Stock Chat." I'm Pei-Yu. Today is Thursday, July 23, 2026, and we are here to predict the market trends for the next trading day—Friday, July 24, 2026—focusing on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) main index and key individual stocks. The Taiwan stock market just experienced a historic surge. Is everyone feeling pumped? However, with tomorrow's Friday settlement and weekly close ahead, we need to stay calm and see what the AI has to say. Be careful not to fall into the overbought trap of buying too quickly! ## Market Forecast for Today
Current Price 44825.78Next-DayBullish · 44500.43~45570.69 · Confidence 57%Short-TermBullish · 44831.16~47224.34 · Confidence 57%
TAIEX AI Forecast Range (Next-Day / Short-Term)
This forecast is for the target trading day: 2026-07-24 (Friday) | Horizon | Current Price | Forecast Direction | Target Range | Confidence | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Next-Day | 44825.78 | Bullish | 44500.43 ~ 45570.69 | 57.0% | | Short-Term | 44825.78 | Bullish | 44831.16 ~ 47224.34 | 57.0% | For the market on Friday, July 24, 2026, the AI projects a bullish direction for the broader market. Although the TAIEX just recorded its largest single-day gain in history, and a major rebound in US semiconductor chip stocks has boosted market sentiment, the Taiwan Index Futures night session premium reached as high as 5.68%, indicating that short-term market sentiment is somewhat overheated. The most critical factor to watch on Friday is whether the spot market opens too high due to panic buying, which could trigger a "high open, low close" profit-taking sell-off. We advise everyone to stay calm and avoid blindly chasing highs. ## Global Market Status Below is the latest status of global markets. This data represents current conditions only and does not constitute a forecast. | Index | Close | % Change | | --- | --- | --- | | Taiwan Index Futures Night Session (TXF) | 45034 | 0.87% | | Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) | 52218.58 | -0.01% | | S&P 500 Index (GSPC) | 7498.96 | -0.14% | | Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) | 25690.9 | -0.57% | | Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) | 12410.67 | 0.44% | ## Key Stock AI Forecasts
Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)Bullish · Confidence 55%Fubon Vietnam (00885)Neutral · Confidence 58%TSMC (2330)Neutral · Confidence 50%Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050)Neutral · Confidence 57%MediaTek (2454)Bullish · Confidence 56%Foxconn (2317)Neutral · Confidence 55%Chunghwa Telecom (2412)Neutral · Confidence 69%
Target Ranges for Key Stocks (Vertical Line = Current Price, Colored Band = Target Range)
This forecast is for the target trading day: 2026-07-24 (Friday) | Stock | Direction | Target Range | Confidence | Technical Signals | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735) | Bullish | 95.48 ~ 102.78 | 55.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, Bollinger=SELL | | Fubon Vietnam (00885) | Neutral | 17.5 ~ 18.2 | 58.0% | KD=BUY, MACD=SELL, Bollinger=SELL | | TSMC (2330) | Neutral | 2230.45 ~ 2409.55 | 50.0% | KD=SELL, RSI=SELL, MACD=SELL | | Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050) | Neutral | 401.48 ~ 433.72 | 57.0% | KD=SELL, RSI=SELL, Bollinger=SELL | | MediaTek (2454) | Bullish | 4585.48 ~ 5087.38 | 56.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, Bollinger=SELL | | Foxconn (2317) | Neutral | 259.16 ~ 284.84 | 55.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=SELL, MACD=SELL | | Chunghwa Telecom (2412) | Neutral | 144.12 ~ 148.88 | 69.0% | KD=BUY, RSI=BUY, MACD=SELL | * **Cathay Taiwan-Korea Tech (00735)**: Short-term bullish. Although it has taken a severe beating recently, it is currently oversold, and a deep-drop rebound could occur at any time. * **Fubon Vietnam (00885)**: Short-term consolidation at low levels. While a rebound is possible after the deep drop, selling pressure has not yet been fully digested. Let's first see if it can find its footing. * **TSMC (2330)**: The outlook for the next 5 trading days leans toward "consolidation." The current valuation is on the expensive side, so we recommend a wait-and-see approach for now. * **Yuanta Taiwan 50 (0050)**: Short-term outlook is consolidation. Although the stock price has broken below short-term moving averages, it has entered oversold territory. It is expected to fluctuate and build a bottom within this range. * **MediaTek (2454)**: The outlook for the next 5 trading days leans "bullish." However, the current valuation is relatively expensive, so watch out for risks when chasing highs. * **Foxconn (2317)**: The verdict is "consolidation." In the short term, expect a roller-coaster ride of ups and downs. Novice investors should watch out for short-selling pressure from foreign institutional investors. * **Chunghwa Telecom (2412)**: Technical indicators are mixed. The stock is consolidating in place in the short term. With some indicators looking overheated, avoid rushing to chase highs here. ## Strategic Stock Selection Radar *Reminder: The following are results from strategic screening, not stock buy/sell predictions.* | Stock | Overall Score | Institutional Flow Score | P/E Ratio | Valuation | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Hung Poo (2536) | 84 | 100 | 6.53 | Fair | | Lees Green Energy (1529) | 79 | 100 | 20.31 | Cheap | | Farglory (5522) | 79 | 100 | 8.69 | Cheap | | Globe Union (9934) | 78 | 100 | N/A | N/A | | Hon Chuan (9939) | 76 | 100 | 14.69 | Fair | * **Hung Poo (2536)**: Trading volume surged by 2.48x, and a bullish engulfing pattern has emerged. The CCI indicator is strengthening, but the Williams %R indicates overbought conditions. * **Lees Green Energy (1529)**: A hammer pattern has formed, and MACD is showing bullish divergence. Short-term momentum shows signs of strengthening. * **Farglory (5522)**: Trading volume surged by 3.98x, and CCI is strengthening. However, both RSI and Williams %R indicate overbought conditions, and the bias ratio (deviation rate) is too high. Be cautious of chasing highs. * **Globe Union (9934)**: Short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment. The stock price has risen above the monthly moving average, showing a medium-term bullish bias. However, there are currently no clear buy/sell signals; we recommend waiting. * **Hon Chuan (9939)**: The 5-day moving average crossed above the 20-day moving average to form a golden cross, indicating strengthening momentum. However, the Williams %R shows overbought conditions, so watch out for a potential pullback. ## Recent Forecast Accuracy Review
Market · Next-Day43%（2/21）Market · Short-Term44%（1/18）Stocks · Short-Term22%（5/36）Stocks · 20-Day25%（4/16）
Recent Directional Accuracy (Higher is more accurate; includes settled sample size)
We believe in transparency and never inflate our numbers. Here is how our AI has performed recently: The next-day market direction accuracy is 9.5% (historical hits: 2/21, average error: 1.89%); the short-term market direction accuracy is 5.6% (historical hits: 1/18, average error: 3.16%). For individual stocks, the short-term direction accuracy is 13.9% (historical hits: 5/36, average error: 5.18%), while the 20-day direction accuracy is 25.0% (historical hits: 4/16, average error: 10.19%). Below is a review of forecasts for settled stocks: * **00885 (2026-07-13)**: Forecast: Neutral, Result: MISS, Actual Return: -2.77% * **2330 (2026-07-13)**: Forecast: Neutral, Result: MISS, Actual Return: -4.92% * **0050 (2026-07-13)**: Forecast: Bullish, Result: MISS, Actual Return: -6.42% * **00735 (2026-07-13)**: Forecast: Bearish, Result: PARTIAL, Actual Return: -9.08% ## Disclaimer This content is automatically generated by an AI model based on quantitative data and is for research reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk; please make your own judgments and assume all responsibility. --- ## About this article and its author Originally published on [Mark Ku's Tech Notes](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/ai-stock-chat/ai-stock-chat-2026-07-23) License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — when reusing or quoting, credit the author and link back to the original ### About the author **[Mark Ku](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/author/mark-ku)** — Software Solution Provider - 10+ years senior software engineer, now an AI Builder - Focused on large-platform architecture — North-American e-commerce, AI SaaS subscription billing - Combining AI Agents and automation to build evolvable product foundations ### Free tools built by the author All of these are free to use: - [Free PDF Sign Tool](https://blog.markkulab.net/en/tools/pdf-sign): Online PDF sign tool — draw, type, or upload a signature, then drag, resize, and download. 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